XRP remains below the significant resistance level of $1.50, currently trading at $1.47 with a slight increase of 0.03% in the last 24 hours. Despite strong institutional demand, the token continues to face challenges in gaining momentum, even as adoption expands and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attract inflows.
Institutional Demand Signals Strength
The robust demand for ETFs is crucial for XRP’s medium-term outlook. Since the launch of US XRP-spot ETFs, the sector has drawn total net inflows of $1.23 billion. Notably, the Grayscale XRP ETF (GXRP) has secured $131.46 million in inflows since its debut in November 2025, reflecting increasing institutional confidence. Furthermore, Ripple’s growth alongside its US banking license has positively impacted the token’s real-world applications, fostering constructive price expectations.
XRP’s price movements are closely tied to developments surrounding the US Market Structure Bill, which is currently under review by the Senate. Legislative momentum previously ignited a rapid 15% rally in a single day, demonstrating how regulatory progress can influence market sentiment. Delays in Senate voting earlier this year contributed to a significant price drop, bringing XRP down from $2.4151 in January to $1.1227 in early February. Confirmation of a Senate vote and the bill’s passage could act as a catalyst, potentially driving XRP towards $2.50 within the next four to eight weeks. Ongoing discussions in the White House about stablecoin yields also contribute to immediate market uncertainty.
Macro Forces and Price Risks
Expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path have a direct impact on liquidity conditions and investors’ risk appetite. Additionally, the Bank of Japan’s evolving stance on its neutral rate may influence global capital flows, particularly concerning yen carry trade operations. Strong economic data from the US, legislative delays, and continued ETF outflows could exert downward pressure on XRP, increasing the likelihood of testing the psychological support level at $1.00.
From a technical perspective, XRP recently broke above the lower trendline of a falling wedge pattern but saw a slight decline the following day, finding support around this trendline. As of Wednesday, XRP is stabilizing at $1.47. If it closes below this lower boundary, a further decline toward the weekly support at $1.30 may occur. Momentum indicators present a mixed picture; the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating growing bearish pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to signal underlying bullish momentum.
Should the lower trendline hold as support, XRP could potentially recover towards the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.71. Resistance levels are at $1.50, followed by $2.00. A sustained move above $1.50 could signal the beginning of a near-term trend reversal, providing a more optimistic outlook for XRP.