WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 21: Sean Manaea #59 of the New York Mets pitches in the second inning against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on August 21, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images)

UPDATE: The New York Mets are gearing up for a crucial matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies tonight at 7:10 PM ET in Queens, NY. With the stakes high as they aim to secure the third Wild Card spot in the National League, all eyes will be on starting pitcher Sean Manaea, whose recent performance has been alarmingly poor.

In August alone, Manaea has posted a staggering 7.91 ERA over four starts, giving up 22 hits and four home runs in just 19 2/3 innings. This troubling trend comes despite facing teams that rank below the top-10 in team on-base plus slugging, including the Guardians, Brewers, Mariners, and Nationals. The Mets will now pit him against a formidable Phillies lineup that has been heating up, boasting a robust .794 OPS over the past two weeks, which ranks as the fourth-best in baseball during that span.

Critically, Manaea has not fared well against the Phillies in the past. Eight different players on Philadelphia’s roster have homered against him previously, with Nick Castellanos particularly dangerous, having hit three home runs in just 15 career plate appearances against the lefty. Moreover, Manaea struggled against a similar Phillies lineup last season, recording a 5.40 ERA across 16 2/3 innings.

As the Mets fight to maintain their playoff aspirations, Manaea’s ability to limit damage will be tested. Betters are eyeing the line with an interesting play: Manaea is favored to allow more than 2.5 earned runs (+105, Caesars Sportsbook), a prediction that many analysts believe could very likely come to fruition given his current form.

With the game fast approaching, fans and analysts alike are bracing for what could be a pivotal moment in the Mets’ season. The urgency is palpable as both teams look to secure vital wins in their respective quests for postseason play. Stay tuned for live updates and analysis as this critical matchup unfolds.