Domino’s Pizza, Inc. is preparing to announce its fiscal Q4 earnings for 2025 before the market opens on October 14, 2025. As one of the largest and most recognized names in global quick-service food, the Michigan-based company operates tens of thousands of stores across more than 90 countries. With a current market capitalization of $13.5 billion, analysts are closely monitoring the expected outcomes for this report.
Analysts forecast that Domino’s will report earnings of $5.36 per share, reflecting a notable increase of 9.6% from $4.89 per share in the same quarter last year. Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded Wall Street’s earnings estimates in two instances and fell short in two others. For the entirety of fiscal 2025, analysts anticipate the company will post earnings of $17.54 per share, marking a 5.1% rise compared to $16.69 per share for fiscal 2024. Looking ahead, the earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow by 12.5% year-over-year, reaching $19.74 in fiscal 2026.
Despite these positive projections, shares of DPZ have declined 4.5% over the past year. This performance contrasts sharply with the broader market, as the S&P 500 Index has risen by 16.9%, and the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund has seen an 8.2% return during the same period.
Market Dynamics and Analyst Sentiment
On January 5, 2025, Domino’s shares dropped by more than 3% following a downgrade by TD Cowen, which shifted the stock rating from “Buy” to “Hold.” The firm cited challenges for the company, including diminishing same-store sales trends, rising costs for franchisees, and increased competition within the delivery and quick-service pizza segments.
Despite these challenges, Wall Street analysts maintain a moderately optimistic outlook on DPZ’s stock. The overall rating is categorized as a “Moderate Buy.” Among the 29 analysts covering Domino’s, 15 recommend a “Strong Buy,” one suggests a “Moderate Buy,” 11 propose a “Hold,” and two indicate “Strong Sell” ratings. The average price target for DPZ stands at $495.72, suggesting a potential upside of 23.8% from current levels.
As Domino’s approaches its earnings announcement, stakeholders will be keenly watching for insights into the company’s performance and strategies for navigating the competitive landscape in the pizza delivery market.