Democrats in Tennessee are gearing up for a potential surprise in the upcoming 2026 elections, spurred by recent developments in the state’s political landscape. A special election held in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District revealed a narrowing gap between Democratic and Republican support. The Democratic candidate, Aftyn Behn, lost by just 9 points, a significant shift from the previous year when Republican Mark Green won by 22 points before resigning his seat in July.
The results have ignited both hope and concern among local Democrats, particularly in Nashville and its suburbs. Megan Schwalm, a resident who founded a social group for liberal women, expressed the mixed emotions many are feeling. “It’s a numbers game, right?” she remarked, highlighting the ongoing struggle against gerrymandering that complicates their efforts. Schwalm noted that while there are moments of optimism, the harsh realities of political demographics can be discouraging.
The energy among Democrats is palpable, with many vowing to transform Nashville into a competitive battleground for the 2026 midterm elections. Lisa Quigley, who served as chief of staff to the last Democratic representative from the area, believes that strategic campaigning could capitalize on the current momentum. “There’s something happening,” Quigley stated, emphasizing the need for strong candidates to maximize their chances.
The political landscape in Tennessee has changed dramatically in recent years. Following redistricting efforts by Republicans, Nashville was divided into three congressional districts, significantly altering the political dynamics. In the past, the old 5th Congressional District was a Democratic stronghold for 148 years, but the new boundaries have favored Republican candidates. President Donald Trump’s margins in the 2024 elections reflect this shift, with Republicans winning by substantial margins across the newly drawn districts.
Despite these challenges, Quigley remains optimistic about flipping at least two of the three districts. Conversations within the local Democratic circles indicate a growing determination to challenge the status quo. The group Schwalm leads has expanded rapidly, from an initial gathering to nearly 700 members engaged in political activism.
Schwalm’s journey to Tennessee began when she moved from Iowa, and she quickly recognized the stark cultural divide between her current home and Nashville. “When you are here, it’s very clear you are in the Bible Belt,” she explained. Her coffee group initially focused on local issues but is now setting its sights on broader political ambitions.
The special election results have prompted discussions about candidate strategy. While some suggest a more moderate candidate might resonate better with undecided voters, others argue that a true liberal approach is necessary to energize younger voters. Schwalm expressed her belief in running candidates who genuinely reflect progressive values, stating, “I think the way we win is to run true liberal candidates and not ‘liberal lite.’”
As the 2026 elections approach, the dynamics within the Democratic Party in Tennessee will be tested. Quigley anticipates crowded primaries, with multiple candidates vying for the opportunity to represent Nashville. The competition could exacerbate tensions between liberal and moderate factions, making the upcoming primaries a key battleground for shaping the party’s strategy.
Aftyn Behn, who ran in the special election, has yet to announce her plans for the next cycle. Her experience and newfound national fundraising connections position her as a viable candidate for future races.
Local business owners, such as Luis and Cyndi Cortes, represent the conservative sentiment in the area. Despite their support for Trump, they express concern over the current political climate, particularly regarding financial transparency and character in leadership. Cyndi noted her disappointment in Rep. Andy Ogles, suggesting she might consider a Democratic candidate if their values align with her own.
As Democrats prepare for the upcoming elections, their hopes hinge not only on local engagement but also on broader shifts within the Republican base. The special election results have provided a glimmer of possibility, but the path to victory remains steep. With renewed energy and a commitment to community building, Tennessee Democrats are determined to challenge the entrenched Republican dominance in the state.