The Chicago Bears have emerged as one of the most improved teams in the NFL, largely thanks to their second-year quarterback, Caleb Williams. This season, Williams is defying conventional expectations by holding onto the ball longer than any quarterback since 2012 while simultaneously reducing his sack rate significantly. As the Bears prepare to face the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 13, questions arise regarding the sustainability of his approach.
Williams has been holding the ball for an average of 3.13 seconds before making a throw, taking a sack, or scrambling. This duration is unprecedented among quarterbacks with a minimum of 350 dropbacks since 2012. Last season, during his rookie year in 2024, he held the ball for a similar length of time but ended up taking a staggering 68 sacks. Remarkably, his sack rate has improved from 10.8 percent, the second-worst in the league last season, to 4.8 percent, which ranks sixth-best entering the upcoming game.
This improvement defies logic, prompting analysis of both statistical data and game tape. The Bears’ offensive strategy under new head coach Ben Johnson has seen a significant increase in offensive expected points added (EPA) per game, with a remarkable jump of 7.3 from the previous season. According to TruMedia, this ranks as the fifth-largest year-over-year gain in the NFL. Notably, more than half of this improvement—3.8 EPA per game—can be attributed to the reduction in sacks taken by Williams.
The Bears invested in remaking their interior offensive line during the offseason, which has enhanced protection for Williams. Additionally, he has demonstrated greater elusiveness against opposing pass rushers. While he held the ball for a shorter duration during last week’s victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers, averaging 2.52 seconds, he still faced pressure, resulting in a sack and a fumble that was recovered for a touchdown.
Williams’ ability to extend plays while minimizing negative outcomes is intriguing. He has made a concerted effort to cut down on mistakes, showcasing his talent as both a passer and a runner. As he continues to lead the league in time held with the ball, the implications for his performance and the Bears’ offense will be closely monitored. Observers will be keen to see if this unique style can endure as the season progresses.
The upcoming matchup against the Eagles will serve as a crucial test for Williams and the Bears. If he can maintain his current level of performance while balancing the risks associated with holding the ball longer, it may redefine expectations for his role and effectiveness in the league. The unfolding narrative surrounding Williams not only highlights his individual talent but also reflects a broader evolution in how quarterbacks approach the game.